You may have heard the adage that goes something like “the more you train in times of peace, the less you will bleed in times of war”.
This phrase connotes the value of preparedness thinking and preemptive action. It can be related back to the historical samurai principles of the Natori Ryu.

Natori Masazumi, the legendary shinobi who passed on the scrolls of Natori Ryu, echoes to the present a principle of samurai conduct that he says is of primary importance for all samurai: Nichiyo Kokorogake.

What is this?

Nichiyo Kokorogake parallels the preparedness adage above. It means to make use of states of ‘order’ by preparing to address inchoate and even flagrant states of ‘disorder’, and when ‘disorder’ or war arises, one should work to swiftly reinstate ‘order’ or peace . The central point here is to not waste one’s time. Prepare so that once an adverse event occurs, you may be better equipped to deal with it quickly.

So how can you apply Nichiyo Kokorogake to everyday life?
Here are a few examples:

– Consume a Good Diet and Exercise! Realizing that your body is literally the means by which you interact with this earth, it behooves you to take care of it so that you can use it well in states of emergency or even war.
– Make a list of potential sources of ‘disorder’ in your own world (i.e. problems at work, earthquakes, floods, terrorism, violent thugs, etc.), then devise a strategy for dealing with the disorder to retain. For example, if you are going on an extensive road-trip, be sure you have a carjack, roadside flares, and other essential equipment for car problems. A less mundane example might be getting kidnapped (if you think this is a possibility) and being able to escape because you learned in advance how to escape restraints, signal for help, etc.

Continue to ponder and apply this principle, and you might not bleed when the going gets tough.

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In May of 2017 a FOIA (Freedom of Information Act Request) filed by Governmentattic.com yielded the release of a FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) internal document which posits notions of a dark future. The 67 page report titled  ‘Mitigation strategies for FEMA command, control,and communications during and after a solar superstorm’  provides the agency’s rational basis for its assertion that a major disruption in the power grid, caused by a geomagnetic storm, could cause a black-out expected to last a minimum of 4 years.

The report was published in 2010 and is now circulating the internet, imbuing anxiety, disbelief, and indifference: ‘But we have back-up generators right? Everything will be fine.’

This shallow perception is shattered as the report reads:

“Most critical infrastructure and operations centers can operate for approximately 3-7days on generator backup without refueling, with larger centers averaging 7 days. Government and private sector emergency managers operate on the assumption that fuel contracts and pre-arranged fuel deliveries will be available after7 days. This may not be a safe assumption in an extreme solar weather event.”

The report justifies pro-active measures in preparing for geo-magnetic storms by delving into their historical context, citing the Carrington event of 1859 which was powerful enough to start fires, burn up telegraph lines, and send scintillating fingerprints of the aurora borealis to latitudes as far south as Sub-Saharan Africa. It was reported back then that those in the North Eastern United States could read their newspapers by the tremulous glow in the skies. The storm caused minor social upset however, people then were quite self-sufficient and went on with their lives into the electric maze of the 20th century. But if a storm of similar magnitude impacted the earth in this technotronic era, the results would be absolutely apocalyptic.

In the event of another major solar storm geo-magnetically induced currents, the report says, “will exceed” the capacities of transformers, thus posing the “risk of irreparable damage, ‘collapsing large portions of the power grid.” How long does it take to replace a transformer? According to the report, about 12 months.

But what is more, the FEMA report cites the National Academy of Sciences’ conclusion that such a scenario could last 4-10 years!

Imagine that……4-10 years without power. Millions would die.

As a matter of fact, a 2008 publication of the Committee on Armed Services, titled “Threat Posed by Electromagnetic (EMP) Attack” contains a stupendous dialogue between Maryland congressman Roscoe Bartlett and a Dr. William Graham which evinces an affirmation that the aforementioned deaths of millions is a potential reality.

Congressman Bartlett relates in the dialogue that he had the privilege of reading a pre-publication copy of a book called One Second After which presents the plot of an EMP strike on the U.S., wherein 90% of the population dies within a year after the attack. He then asks Dr. Graham if such a casualty rate is realistic, to which Graham replies:

“We think that is in the correct range. We don’t have experience with losing the infrastructure in a country with 300 million people, most of whom don’t live in a way that provides for their own food and other needs. We can go back to an era when people did live like that. That would be—10 percent would be 30 million people, and that is probably the range where we could survive as a basically rural economy.”

Here is a vid. of Newt Gingrich mentioning the book One Second After and giving a spiel on EMP attacks:

So the grid is highly vulnerable to geomagnetic storms and enemy EMP attacks. This is certain. What is not certain is how soon, if at all, we could expect one of these disastrous scenarios to manifest.

The FEMA document cites that the frequency of major geomagnetic storms can cycle in 100 year intervals, so we are overdue on that front.

As for an EMP? We must factor how many countries possess nuclear weapons, the number of terrorist organizations seeking access to such weapons, how likely we are to witness open confrontation with other countries, and a whole slew of other items in order to calculate the probability of witnessing an EMP-like attack in the near future.

 

That being said, what should you take away from all of this?

1. The power-grid is highly vulnerable to solar storms and EMP attacks

2. The government cannot save everyone

3. The world is becoming more complex, which means more things can go wrong

4. Most people are without basic preparedness supplies or skills

Therefore…exercise prudential intelligence and prepare during this peace.

Be safe.

 

 

 

Shinobi-walking?

You might think this activity has only to do with silent footsteps or agile heel placement, and if so, you would be missing the great significance of this art – for as described by Chikamatsu Shigenori and inferred from other ninjutsu texts, shinobi-walking is much more than merely strolling about the land.

The shinobi of old was, among other things, an intelligence agent. It was his job to gain as much information on the enemy and its territory as he could, and shinobi-walking was one method of gathering intelligence on the topography of various territories without arousing much suspicion.

The more you prepare for war during peacetime, the less you will bleed in times of war – or so the proverb goes. The shinobi would prepare himself and enable the army he was attached to by walking about with a concentrated observation for tactical points of interest. Shigenori divulges that this clandestine agent would travel on as many roads as he could, in as many territories as he could, as often as possible, so as to mentally record topographical features of these areas. By doing this, the shinobi would be capable of providing decisive advice on a given province should battle ameliorate within. He may have done this in broad daylight under the cover of a good disguise. Or, he could opt to fulfill intelligence objectives by abiding to in-nin (dark ninjutsu) scouting techniques. Whatever the option chosen, it is certain that shinobi intelligence was indispensable to commanders seeking a swift victory.

So that is the historical explanation of this art, but what can we modern folk learn from ‘shinobi-walking’?

As you might have discerned from other posts on this site, I am a commoner with a keen interest in exigency preparedness. I do not believe an apocalyptic doomsday or pernicious disaster is inevitable, however to deny the possibility is quite imprudentbecause unpredictable cataclysms have been the bane of human existence. In connection with this appeal to preparedness, I am convinced that the most salient evolutionary adaptation of our species has been ‘the mind’. This beings so, there is much to learn from shinobi-no-jutsu as it’s texts emphasize the cultivation of a sharp mind that is flexible enough to conform to any difficult circumstance one might face.

Now to the point, ‘shinobi-walking’ can teach the preparedness-minded to pay attention to our surroundings – to the extent that useful topographical features are memorized for future reference. Walking around different towns, cities, and rural areas, we may identify water sources and myriad other valuable saliencies of the area. As a plus, we engage in some decent exercise while stimulating our mental faculties and possibly meeting new peo

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Now to the point, ‘shinobi-walking’ can teach the preparedness-minded to pay attention to our surroundings – to the extent that useful topographical features are memorized for future reference. Walking around different towns, cities, and rural areas, we may identify wat

I spy a cold-blood

gh an emergency. I am not responsible for your misdeeds or lack of planning.

er sources and myriad other valuable saliencies of the area. As a plus, we engage in some decent exercise while stimulating our mental faculties and possibly meeting new people.

I prefer scouting out rural areas, as I enjoy nature. If you intend to take up long walks (6+ miles) in the woods or back roads of your area, be sure to carry water, and other items essential to getting you through.

Be safe, and I hope you enjoyed the post.